Race-by-race preview and selections for Randwick on Saturday

Source: Sydney Morning Herald | Title: Race-by-race preview and selections for Randwick on Saturday

By Brad Gray
April 8, 2021 — 5.35pm


There are a couple of red flags withHawkes-trained debutant
11. Bahama, namely that her one trial was on the synthetic and that she half fluffed the start, but there was a lot to like about how she ran through the line. All of her rivals were off the bit late but she was still in second gear. There has been early betting support, which is encouraging. Stablemate 8.Vandoula Lass impressed at Sandown on debut before being run down by Rocket Tiger at Randwick back in December. Drawn low, she’ll use her brilliance to give another sight from in front.

How to play it: Bahama to win.


It’s hard to poke too many holes in race favourite 4. The Irishman. He stalked the speed in the G2 Phar Lap Stakes last start only to be grabbed late by subsequent G1 winner Hungry Heart. The race was set up for the closers too. His two Australian starts for Mark Newnham have been on good tracks, but his prior New Zealand form suggests he’ll handle anythingRandwick throws up. 2. Wheelhouse drops from two solid efforts in G1s and Chris Waller speaks highly of the son of Pierro.
How to play it: The Irishman to win.

 Godolphin heavyweight Avilius is a three-time group 1 winner and looks very well treated in The Doncaster Mile.

 Godolphin heavyweight Avilius is a three-time group 1 winner and looks very well treated in The Doncaster Mile.


9. Activation is going to spot all 15 of his rivals a start, but we’re getting a big enough price to gamble that everything falls into place for him – namely that there is enough speed up front. The four-year-old overcame a slow tempo to win his Coonamble qualifier with plenty up his sleeve. Would be surprised if anything is hitting the line harder than him. Love the booking of Tim Clark for 16. Tara Jasmine and, if she can settle on top of the speed, she’ll be hard to gun down. 3. Art Cadeau is still yet to finish outside of the top two in his 10 starts. He is incredibly consistent. Couldn’t back anything in this field at sub $3 though.
How to play it: Activation E-W.

Race 4 – 1:20PM TAB ADRIAN KNOX STAKES (2000m)

Loved the closing speed of 3. Flexible last start over 1800m. Forget her failure two back on a leader friendly Gosford track and her form is rock solid. The cut out of the ground suits and everything she has done to date suggests she’ll relish 2000m. 6. Land Ahoy has the John Sargent staying polish and will also enjoy 2000m. She has struck form at the right time but will also need the breaks to fall her way from a wide draw. 14. Tycoon Hallie can count herself a touch unlucky to still be a maiden having come through a couple of slowly run races where she drew wide. Has her first run for Brad Widdup here and although she has been deep-ended, suspect she’ll run better than her odds suggest.


How to play it: Flexible to win.


6. Sacramento was ridden with cover last start in the Manion Cup and thought it was a terrific effort given it was against his normal pattern. His asset in the past has been to run his rivals into the ground. On the Manion Cup, it has provided seven of the past 10 winners of the Chairman’s Quality. 11. Selino also comes through the Manion and only the quinella had a quicker last 600m. 12. Paths Of Glory went back to last in a very slowly run race last Saturday before producing the fastest last 200m split of the entire meeting. As far as eighths go, it was pretty handy.
How to play it: Sacramento win.

Race 6 – 2:30PM: INGLIS SIRES PRODUCE (1400m)

1. Anamoe produced a Sires-winning run in the Golden Slipper last start when charging to the line from the rear. He was suited by the brutal early tempo of the race, thanks to Profiteer, and he won’t get that same set up here but he isn’t a one dimensional colt that has to settle out the back. All being equal, Anamoe should be winning as he only has to hold his form. It’s a stretch to think 8. Four Moves Ahead or 2. Captivant could turn the tables on Anamoe but they both ran well in the Golden Slipper.

How to play it: Anamoe to win.


8. Khoekhoe ran sixth in the Rosehill Guineas but it was a fantastic Derby trial from the Victorian colt. He was clearly the best of the on-pacers after Grandslam set it up for the closers and was only second up over 2000m and five weeks between runs. He strips fitter now third up, has had the experience Sydney way of going and draws to box seat. 3. Sky Lab will relish the 2400m. He was under a lot of pressure turning for home in the Guineas but kept finding. 16. Montefilia had the fastest last 600m having got a long way back and was 1400m straight out to 2000m second up.
How to play it: Khoekhoe E-W.

Race 8 – 3:55PM HEINEKEN T J SMITH STAKES (1200m)

3. Eduardo comes off a career-best when blitzing his rivals in the G1 Galaxy, giving them all weight. Prior to that he beat 2. Nature Strip in the Challenge Stakes, albeit covering a lot less ground in the run. There was a lot to like about how Eduardo ran through the line in that win, though. If this comes down to a battle the last 100m, you want to be in Eduardo’s corner, especially at the price. Can Nature Strip still win if he doesn’t lead? As long as he still finds his rhythm, yes. He can’t be dictated to. If those two drive each other mad, 1. Bivouac could pounce. He is an enigma but his best is certainly good enough.
How to play it: Eduardo to win.

Race 9 – 4:35PM: THE STAR DONCASTER MILE (1600m)

Everything has seemingly fallen into place for 2. Avilius. Already athree-time G1 winner, the seven-year-old looks well treated with 56kg. Think Hartnell, Hauraki andIt’s Somewhat as big recent mile winners for Godolphin. Avilius finished within 0.4L off Verry Elleegant first up before running the fastest last 600m split of the meeting in the George Ryder Stakes last start. The Ryder has provided four of the past six Doncaster winners too. James McDonald does the steering and the speed will be hot up front. 1. Mugatoo has undeniable claimsbut he’s very well found. 10. Cascadian smoked to the line in the George Ryder and drops 6kg.
How to play it: Avilius to win.


Out of sight, out of mind for 13. Perfect Radiance? It’s the only way to explain why the market has overlooked her. She’s a classy filly. The daughter of Snitzel has her first start for Joe Pride, having formerly been with Kris Lees, and has had three trials to ready her for this first up assignment. Throughout her career she has shown she can run time. 17. Geist has a lot more talent than her record suggests. Good blowout chance. 3. Marboosha was entitled to do a touch more in the Darby Munro last start but there are no Isotopes or Odeums in this.
How to play it: Perfect Radiance each-way.

Tips supplied by Racing NSW
Full form and race replays available at racingnsw.com.au

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